Joe Morgan Predicts Five NL Playoff Teams!
Okay, so he didn’t actually predict that five National League teams would make the playoffs in today’s his ESPN.com chat. But in a way, he did. Read on:
New Orleans, LA: Do you think there is a chance the Phillies will win the NL East?
Joe Morgan: Yes there is a chance, they are only a couple games behind. They are playing well now and the real problem for the Mets is if they end up in a tie, the Phillies win. Right now the lead says they are 1.5 ahead, but in my opinion they are only a .5 game ahead. If the Mets tie, they lose.
And then, a little while later…
Josh W NY, NY: Who is going to win the NL West - Arizona or San Diego?
Joe Morgan: Well I do not have a crystal ball. but the Dbacks have hung tough this long, so I will give them the nod. But anything can happen in the next 10-12 ball games. I have to say Arizona, with the Padres winning the Wild Card. But even if the Padres catch them Arizona could still win the Wild Card. So I think both team will be in the playoffs.
So the wildcard will come out of the NL West. Which means only one team in the NL East will make the playoffs. Which means that if the Mets and Phillies end up tied, the Mets do NOT lose the tiebreaker. The tiebreaker only applies if two teams end up tied for first in the division AND tied for first in the wildcard, meaning that both teams are going to the playoffs regardless. Then they look at the tiebreaker. So the only way the Mets’ 1.5-game lead is really only a half-game like Joe Morgan says is if both the Mets and Phillies make the playoffs. But we know they won’t, because he just told us both the Padres and Diamondbacks will make the playoffs.
Everyone knows predictions are often wrong; only Joe Morgan makes predictions in such a way that it is literally impossible for them to be correct.
Posted: September 19th, 2007 under General Joe Morgan.
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